I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on Botafog win raised up by 0.10 since morning on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. In current situation +1 AH on Goias looks like very safe bet because I simply can't imagine their big loss, with more than one goal margin.

Goias have really solid record against Botafogo as they lost only 2 of last 11 matches against them. In previous season when both teams played in Serie B, Goias were able to record comfortable 2:0 at this stadium.

Botafogo coming for this game without 3 important players: goalkeeper Diego Loureiro, defender Sampaio and striker Sauer.

There is one more important factor which is not fully adjusted in odds - current Goias coach Jair Ventura (son of Brazilian football legend Jairzinho) spent so many years in Botafogo in past, he learnt there coach profession and he knows that club very well. For sure he have additional motivation to perform well with his team today.

All in all, I going with market movement here. I see logic behind it.