I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on home win slashed down by 0.15 in last 2 hours on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Paranaense have strong advantage before today's match because in first game they won 2:1 at home, but they are not good away team in Copa Libertadores - they lost 10 of last 12 matches on the road in competition (during that run they failed to score 7 times).

Both teams played on this stadium in April and Libertad won here 1:0, why not today? In first match of tie they doesn't looked as a worse team. Libertad won 7 consecutive home matches in all competitions.

I understand market movement here. Home advantage is big factor. It's not fully adjusted in odds.