This is another bet from Sweden's top league, where we have obvious value on home double handicap. Kalmar are above Elfsborg on standings first of all. It's about one point difference not that big ofcourse, but there is no reason for Elfsborg to be so respected besides past seasons coefficients. We were betting against Elfsborg in the last round when they lost 0-3 to Hammarby, and in the midweek they lost 1-4 in Norway vs Molde. Now, they are in danger of making the third loss in a row, and the fear mode is on in Elfsborg. That's of course related to the high ambitions they had before the season started and now when they look up the standings, the picture is not so nice. Right now, they would be satisfied if they end at top5. The biggest problem for Elfsborg comes in non-realized chances when they turn the match in their favor. A lack of confidence in themselves is obvious at moment in Elfsborg. Once again, this season too, away matches for Elfsborg represent a problem, knowing they won only 1 match in 7 fixtures on the road this season. It was against weak Degerfors. On the other side, Kalmar didn't have big expectations in pre-season but anyway they make progress in the last 5 years, step by step. They are above average side in the Swedish top league, with a focus on tight defense. So we have Kalmar who scored only 8 goals in 7 home matches, while they conceded only 4. Furthermore, Kalmar are undefeated in the last 4 home games, winning 3 of them without conceding goal! They will have a chance to continue a good home form when tired Elfsborg arrives to their town. Indeed, H2H is on the Elfsborg side, they were better in mutual matches recently, but think Kalmar will stop this negative trend today with 3 points. Normally, the result to expect is related to the lower number of goals knowing the style of Kalmar.