I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Cruz Azul is not in good form, they recorded only one win in last 6 matches. According to the ratings, Santiago Gimenez is their best player in current season, in addition to that he scored 5 of 9 Cruz Azul goals. He will not play, it's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

On the other hand Toluca didn't lost in 7 of 8 matches in current season and went unbeaten in last 5 in a row. They are full of confidence. Today we will see on the pitch all their best players like Fernandez, Huerta or Navarro.

Toluca have all required tools to avoid loss in this game and I fully understand market movement.