To back an away win for a traditionally away-shy team like Osasuna is not free money, but under the circumstances it is a must bet!

Let us take a look at where we stand.

Almeria is a promoted side who recently lost their absolutely most key player, striker Umar Sadiq to Real Sociedad. Last round Almeria played already without him away at Valladolid, they created about half a goal worth of goal expectation xG, and managed to shoot 1 shot on target in the whole game. And this was against another promoted club, Valladolid, one of the relegation favorites.

The other matches of Almeria look like this:

A narrow-looking loss to Real Madrid, but Sadiq was still there, and after scoring early in the game they lost the remainder of the match by 3 goals in xG. Drawing 1-1 with Elche is nothing to brag about, the sole goal was scored by Sadiq, then winning over Sevilla might be worth mentioning on some other season but now Sevilla have been horrible. One of the goals was scored by Sadiq again.

There is Saudi money behind the club, but the coach Rubi has so not far been allowed to use it and the squad looks like a Segunda club squad-wise.

A few absentees and doubts at Almeria, Melero would be the biggest miss, the central midfielder signed from relegated Levante side.

Osasuna then?

They should had gotten at least one point away at Betis, and beaten Cadiz and Vallecano by a clearer margin! This has been a top Osasuna start, the team is in form, fit, without absentees and the strikers Avila and Budimir complement each other well, and there is always Kike Garcia to come in and force a winner inside the box if needed.

Money-wise Osasuna have 50% more expensive club, and it show most in the experienced La Liga players they have at their disposal. There is continuity on coaching and in starting eleven, their center-back David Garcia is fought over big European clubs. There is by the way so big number of players named Garcia in the club that they would fill half of the starting 11!

Long story short, Osasuna might well be around 6th position in the league, Almeria will fight against relegation and they have not been able to cope with the loss of Sadiq.

One more thing friends. This is betting, an away team in a top league and there is no such thing as free money or guaranteed results even if the last few weeks have been great for us. Keep that in mind when thinking about your stake.

For me this is a value bet. Good luck!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

对于奥萨苏纳这样一支传统上不太喜欢客场的球队来说，从价值投注来说这是一个很值得下的选择!

让我们看看我们的立场。

阿尔梅里亚是一支升班马，他们最近失去了他们最关键的球员，前锋萨迪克去了皇家社会。上一轮，阿尔梅里亚在没有他的情况下客场挑战巴利亚多利德，他们创造了大约半个进球的期望值，并在整场比赛中成功射正了1次。这是针对另一家升级队，巴利亚多利德，保级热门球队之一。

阿尔梅里亚的其他比赛是这样的:

虽然败给了皇马，但萨迪克仍然在场上，在比赛初期他们就取得了进球，在xG中他们以3球的优势输掉了剩下的比赛。1-1战平埃尔切没什么好吹嘘的，唯一的进球是萨迪克打进的，然后战胜塞维利亚在其他赛季可能值得一提，但现在塞维利亚已经很糟糕了。其中一个进球还是萨迪克打进的。

这支俱乐部背后有沙特的资金支持，但主教练鲁比目前还没有被允许使用这笔资金，这支球队的阵容看起来就像第二支俱乐部的阵容。

在阿尔梅里亚有一些缺阵和怀疑，梅莱罗将是最大的缺阵，这位从降级球队莱万特签下的中场核心。

奥萨苏纳呢?

他们本应该在对阵贝蒂斯的比赛中至少领先一分，并以更大的优势击败加的斯和巴列卡诺!这是奥萨苏纳的最佳开局，球队状态良好，身体健康，没有缺阵，前锋阿维拉和布底米尔相互补充得很好，如果需要的话，总有基亚·加西亚出现，在禁区内逼出制胜球。

在金钱方面，奥萨苏纳的俱乐部身价要高出50%，这在他们拥有的经验丰富的西甲球员中表现得最为明显。他们的教练和首发阵容都有连续性，他们的中后卫大卫-加西亚在欧洲豪门的争夺中很激烈。顺便说一下，俱乐部里有很多叫加西亚的球员，他们会占据首发11人的一半!

长话短说，奥萨苏纳可能在联赛中排名第6，阿尔梅里亚将为保级而战，他们已经无法应对萨迪克的离开。

还有一件事，朋友们。这是打赌，一支顶级联赛的客场球队，没有必赢或保证的结果，即使过去几周对我们来说很好。在考虑你的赌注时要记住这一点。

对我来说，这是一个有价值的赌注。好运！