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英甲
10/12 02:45
已完赛
Charlton VS Exeter
Charlton host Exeter for this League One round 8 clash at The Valley in London early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the third tier of English football and the level of football in this league is probably better than any other country’s third tier. Most teams play pretty “traditional” English football. Fighting hard for every ball is expected from the players and long balls are used more than at the higher levels of English football. Players’ individual skill-level is clearly lower than at the two highest levels. A balanced battle is on the cards here and I cannot agree with the betting market - Charlton being solid favorites priced around 2.35 to win. In my view the visitors should be very narrow favorites here. This means that my fans and I have a 68% chance of winning with the +0.5 goals handicap option on Exeter. Charlton are a club in decline, and I expect a worse season from than most football analysts and the betting market. They are once again clearly over-rated here. The hosts even played in the Premier League at the beginning of this century, but those glory days are long gone. They finished in 13th place last season with 59 points, but I would not be at all surprised to see them finish lower this season.. They currently occupy the 18th place in the standings in this league with a total of 24 teams with 13 points. They have grabbed just two wins so far. They should be able to score more goals but seem to have quite a few offensive problems despite scoring a decent number of goals -15. Their offensive football is often way too predictable making it easy for the opponent to defend successfully. If they attack more aggressively the opponent, especially the better teams, get too many chances for dangerous counterattacks and they have conceded 15 goals so far. I want to highlight that this is less than they should allowed in terms of expected goals allowed.
Exeter, on the other hand, were promoted to this league for this season and have started the season in a brilliant way! The atmosphere within and around the club is very positive. I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class from my preseason analysis. They currently occupy the 8th place with a good number of points – 18! Their score difference is also very good – 20:12. They have been in fine form recently winning three of their latest four matches and playing one draw. In their most recent match, they defeated a dangerous team, Barnsley who currently occupy the 5th place, away from home 2-0. They were forced to defend quite a lot but did so in an organized way as clear underdogs according to the bookies. Before this they beat Southampton U21 2-1 in an EFL Trophy clash at home despite not being at their best. Charlton have not won any of their most recent seven matches and were disappointing – especially offensively - in their most recent game against Lincoln away from home. It was a goalless draw and Charlton only recorded just one shot on the hosts’ goal. Before this Colchester beat them 2-1 in an EFL Trophy battle through two late goals. Charlton are low in confidence at the moment and their fans have been somewhat frustrated by the team lately
北京时间周三凌晨,查尔顿主场迎战埃克塞特,参加联赛第一轮第 8 轮比赛。这是英格兰足球的第三梯队,这个联赛的足球水平可能比任何其他国家的第三梯队都要好。大多数球队都踢非常“传统”的英式足球。球员们期望为每一个球而努力奋斗,长球的使用比英格兰足球更高水平的比赛更多。球员的个人技术水平明显低于两个最高水平。一场平衡的战斗即将到来,我不能同意博彩市场的看法——查尔顿是可靠的热门,赔率约为 2.35。在我看来,这里的访客应该是非常狭隘的最爱。这意味着我和我的球迷有 68% 的机会在埃克塞特的 +0.5 进球让分选项下获胜。查尔顿是一个衰落的俱乐部,我预计这个赛季会比大多数足球分析师和博彩市场更糟糕。他们在这里再次被高估了。东道主甚至在本世纪初就曾参加过英超联赛,但那些辉煌的日子早已一去不复返了。他们上赛季以59分排在第13位,但看到他们本赛季的成绩更低我一点也不感到惊讶。他们目前在联盟积分榜上排名第18位,共有24支球队积13分。到目前为止,他们只赢得了两场胜利。他们应该能够进更多的球,但似乎有不少进攻问题,尽管进了相当多的进球-15。他们的进攻性足球往往过于可预测,让对手很容易成功防守。如果他们更积极地攻击对手,尤其是实力更强的球队,就会获得太多危险的反击机会,到目前为止他们已经丢了15个球。我想强调的是,就允许的预期目标而言,这比他们应该允许的要少。
另一方面,埃克塞特本赛季被提升到这个联盟,并开始了赛季精彩纷呈!俱乐部内部和周围的气氛非常积极。我已经提高了他们的实力等级,这说明了我季前赛分析中球队的纯粹水平。他们目前以很高的分数排在第 8 位——18 分!他们的分差也很不错——20:12。他们最近的状态很好,最近四场比赛赢了三场,打了一场平局。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场2-0击败了目前排名第5的危险球队巴恩斯利。根据博彩公司的说法,他们被迫进行了很多防守,但以有组织的方式作为明显的失败者进行了防守。在此之前,尽管没有达到最佳状态,但他们在主场的 EFL 奖杯冲突中以 2-1 击败了南安普顿 U21。查尔顿在最近的七场比赛中没有赢得任何一场比赛,并且在最近一次客场对阵林肯的比赛中表现令人失望——尤其是在进攻端。这是一场没有进球的平局,而查尔顿只记录了一次射门。主持人的目标。在此之前,科尔切斯特在 EFL 奖杯战中通过两个后期进球以 2-1 击败了他们。查尔顿目前信心不足,他们的球迷最近对球队有些失望