Örgryte VS Landskrona

Örgryte and Landskrona lock horns in this Swedish Superettan round 11 clash at Gamla Ullevi in Göteborg late Tuesday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Swedish football. The level is, unfortunately, low. The home advantage in this league is much smaller on average than in most European leagues. This is the case here as well. Örgryte have lost three of the five home games at Gamla Ullevi in this league so far this season. They do not have particularly good fans. The biggest, often rather smart bookies that offer the biggest betting limits see the hosts as solid clear favorites here and offer odds of around 2.20 on them to take all three points. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis we can expect a very balanced clash here. This means that the smart bet here is definitely Landskrona with the +0.5 goals handicap option.  I also want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts' players have a total market value of 3.1 million euros. In my opinion this is too high. I would set the number at around 2.6 million.. Three players are overvalued. The visitors' players have a total market value of approximately 2.9 million which is a little too low. The fair number would be about 3.5 million. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a relatively good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one. Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me! Let's take a closer look..

Örgryte currently occupy the 8th place in the standings and have 14 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 11.67! They were lucky in their most recent game to beat GAIS away from home as clear underdogs according to the bookies. In reality the hosts were the better team on the pitch. They had 56% ball possession and recorded many more shots on target (13-7), shots off goal (9-2), attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they beat Gefle, a lowly team, 3-1 at home but the visitors were very very bad in this game so a routine performance was enough for the hosts to win. Örgryte have allowed 11 goals so far this season though. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is, however, bigger - 14.02 It was worth realizing that Landskrona have won all three games against Örgryte! Last season they finished in 6th place with 44 points. At the moment they have the same number as Örgryte in their pocket but their number of xPTS is 15.45. They have potential to improve in all areas of the game and I trust their coach a lot! Örgryte, on the other hand, had to play extra games at the end of last season after finishing in 13th place with just 35 points.. Yes, they should improve for this season but the bookies clearly overvalue them once again here.. Landskrona were the better team in both of their latest two games against Trelleborg (7th place) and a very good team,  Öster (3rd) recording more goal attempts and shots on goal but were unlucky only managed to take one point..

Örgryte VS Landskrona

北京时间周二晚，Örgryte和兰德斯克罗纳将在Göteborg与瑞典超级联赛第11轮的比赛中相遇。这是瑞典足球的第二梯队。不幸的是，这个水平很低。这个联赛的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛平均要小得多。这也是这里的情况。Örgryte在本赛季到目前为止的5场主场比赛中输掉了3场。他们没有特别好的粉丝。最大的、通常相当聪明的博彩公司提供最大的投注限额，认为东道主在这里无疑是最受欢迎的，并给出了2.20左右的赔率，认为他们能拿到全部三分。根据我复杂而深入的分析，我们可以预期一场非常平衡的冲突。这意味着明智的选择绝对是兰兹克鲁纳的+0.5进球障碍选项。我还想提一下，根据一家非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主球员的总市值为310万欧元。在我看来，这太高了。我估计这个数字在260万左右。有三个球员被高估了。客队球员的总市值约为290万，这有点太低了。这个数字应该是350万左右。当然，总市值有时可能会误导人，但它仍然是一个相对较好的指标，反映了一支球队在球场上的实际水平。足球(球员)市场毕竟是一个全球性的市场。我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!让我们仔细看看……

Örgryte目前在积分榜上排名第8，有14分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)只有11.67!根据博彩公司的说法，他们很幸运地在最近的一场比赛中击败了GAIS，他们显然处于劣势。事实上，主队在球场上表现得更好。他们有56%的控球率，记录了更多的正射(13胜7负)、射偏(9胜2负)、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前，他们在主场以3-1击败了实力较弱的球队Gefle，但客队在这场比赛中表现非常非常糟糕，所以一场常规的表现足以让主队获胜。Örgryte本赛季至今已经丢了11个球。然而，他们的预期失球数(xGA)更大，为14.02。值得注意的是，Landskrona在对阵Örgryte的三场比赛中都取得了胜利!上赛季他们以44分排名第六。目前，他们口袋里的数字与Örgryte相同，但他们的xPTS数量是15.45。他们在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力，我非常信任他们的教练!另一方面，Örgryte在上赛季结束时以35分的成绩排在第13位，不得不参加额外的比赛。是的，他们本赛季应该有所提高，但是博彩公司显然又高估了他们的价值。兰德斯克鲁纳在最近两场对阵特瑞堡(第7名)的比赛中表现得更好，也是一支非常优秀的球队，Öster(第3名)的进球次数和射门次数都更多，但不幸的是他们只拿到了一分。