Akron Togliatti VS Shinnik Yaroslavl

Akron Togliatti host Shinnik Yaroslavl for this Russian FNL round 15 clash at Kristall Stadium in Zhigulyovsk Monday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of Russian football. The level of this league is not high by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level here. Last season Shinnik finished in 7th place and the hosts ended up in 9th place. Both teams took 46 points. Akron Togliatti currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. They have grabbed a total of 24 points. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is, in fact, even a little bigger. They would have deserved about 26 points. They have netted the ball 17 times in the FNL this season but there are teams with much better offense in this league.. The visitors, too, have scored 17 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is “only” 15.45. The hosts have defended very well this season and have allowed only nine goals. This is the second-lowest number in the FNL. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is bigger though – 10.56. In terms of individual skill-level their defence is far from top-level in this league but their defence has a great structure and the midfielders – and even strikers – actively take part in defending. I do not expect the hosts to be very aggressive offensively here as Shinnik are a very dangerous team on counter attacks. An open game would probably benefit the visitors.. Shinnik have allowed 20 goals, and their coach has said publicly that they have to improve their defence. I expect them to be pretty defensive in this game against a dangerous opponent. Indeed, I see this match as more low-scoring than the bookies do.. Based on my in-depth analysis the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 59%. Shinnik currently occupy the 8th place in the league table and have a fine 20 points to their account. Their number of xPTS is lower though – 17.21 to be precise.

It is very rare to find too high odds on a team that has been lucky in terms of xPTS but this is the case here! Even with the expected lineups I cannot see the host even nearly as big favourites as the bookies do. Odds on them to win are only around 1.55 but I see Akron having an only 50% chance of taking all three points. They do not have very good fans and have won only three home games in this league this season. We will go with the Shinnik +1.5 goals handicap option with a 74% chance of winning for the 4th time in a row! I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com there is not much between the teams here. The hosts’ squad has an estimated total market value of only around eight million euros which is a little too low though.. The Shinnik squad, on the other hand, has a market value of around six million which is too low as well. Around nine million for the hosts’ and eight million would be a fair number in my expert opinion. The teams last locked horns four days ago in a Russian Cup Regions Path semi-final and Akron won 3-0 at this stadium. The match was, however, more balanced than the final score would suggest. This result probably affects the odds way too much here. Before this Akron beat Rodina Moscow 1-0 away from home but did not deserve the win! Rodina recorded many more goal attempts (14-9), shots on goal, corner kicks (7-1), as well as dangerous attacks. The visitors’ recent results are not impressive, but the bookies have overreacted to this! On the 14th of this month, they lost to Kamaz 0-4 away from home and unarguably did not play very well.. Kamaz, a dangerous team - however - played a stronger than normal match. Yes, Kamaz deserved the win but Shinnik, too, had their chances! They recorded a decent nine goal attempts and 62 attacks. The final score is very misleading. 2-1 would probably have been a justified result..

Akron Togliatti VS Shinnik Yaroslavl

北京时间周一晚上，阿克伦·陶里亚蒂主场迎战雅罗斯拉夫队，他们将在日古利夫斯克的克里斯托体育场进行俄罗斯民族解放联盟第15轮比赛。这是俄罗斯足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平并不高。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场平庸水平的比赛。上个赛季，辛尼克队获得第7名，东道主队获得第9名。两队各得46分。Akron Togliatti目前在积分榜上排名第五。他们总共得到了24分。实际上，它们的期望值(xPTS)还要大一些。他们应该得到26分。他们本赛季在FNL的进球次数是17次，但是在这个联盟中有比他们更好的球队。客队也进了17球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)“只有”15.45个。东道主本赛季防守很好，只丢了9个球。这是民族解放力量中第二低的数字。他们的预期进球数(xGA)更大——10.56。就个人技术水平而言，他们的防守在联赛中还远未达到顶级水平，但他们的防守结构很好，中场球员甚至前锋都积极参与防守。我不认为主队在进攻端会很有侵略性，因为辛尼克在反击方面是一支非常危险的球队。一场公开比赛可能对客队有利。辛尼克已经丢了20个球，他们的教练公开表示他们必须改进他们的防守。我希望他们在这场比赛中，面对一个危险的对手，会非常防守。事实上，我认为这场比赛比博彩公司认为的更低。根据我的深入分析，总进球数少于2.5个的概率是59%。辛尼克目前在联赛中排名第8，他们的账户上有20分的罚款。但是，它们的xpt数量更低，准确地说是17.21。

对于一支在xPTS方面运气好的球队来说，很难找到过高的赔率，但这里的情况就是如此!即使有了预期的阵容，我也不认为东道主会像博彩公司那样大受欢迎。他们获胜的赔率只有1.55左右，但我认为阿克伦只有50%的机会获得全部三分。他们没有很好的球迷，本赛季在这个联赛中只赢了三场主场比赛。我们将选择Shinnik +1.5球的障碍选项，有74%的机会连续第四次获胜!我还想提一下，根据德国一家知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，这里的球队之间并没有太多的差距。东道主球队的总市值估计只有800万欧元左右，这有点太低了。另一方面，Shinnik队的市场价值约为600万欧元，这也太低了。对于东道主来说，大约900万，在我的专家看来，800万是一个相当大的数字。两队上一次交锋是在四天前的俄罗斯杯地区道路半决赛中，阿克伦队在这个体育场以3比0获胜。然而，这场比赛比最终比分显示的更加平衡。这个结果可能对赔率影响太大了。在此之前，阿克伦客场1-0击败莫斯科罗迪纳，但他们并不配得上这场胜利!罗迪纳的进球次数(14胜9负)、射门次数、角球次数(7胜1负)以及危险进攻次数更多。客队最近的成绩并不令人印象深刻，但博彩公司对此反应过度了!本月14日，他们客场0-4不敌卡马斯，毫无疑问踢得并不好。卡马斯是一支危险的球队，然而，他们踢得比平时更强。是的，卡马斯当之无愧，但辛尼克也有机会!他们有9次进球和62次进攻。最后的分数很容易误导人。2-1可能是一个合理的结果。