IFK Varnamo VS IFK Goteborg

IFK Varnamo host Goteborg for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 27 battle at Finnvedsvallen. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is, however, pretty low my European standards. Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! A total of 30 rounds will be played in the Allsvenskan. Varnamo have played a good season taking into the expectations ahead of the season. They currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have grabbed a total of 38 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 33.12. They have netted the ball 30 times in this league so far but I have not been overly impressed by their attacking as a whole. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) is only 27.12. Their offense does have a pretty good structure but lacks individual skill, speed and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their defence, on the other hand, is pretty solid – again mainly thanks to a relatively good structure and not too many individual mistakes. They have conceded 29 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 32.56. Last season this pretty small team finished in 10th place and took almost ten points less than Goteborg who finished in 8th place.

Varnamo do not have very good fans so the home advantage here is not very big. In terms of financial resources, historical success and players estimated total market value they are, indeed, a small club. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, their squad has a market value of only around nine million euros. This is small number for this level. Goterborg, on the other hand, are a pretty big and traditional club in Sweden – despite being in recent years. Their players have a total market value of around 13 million. They have had a disappointing season, no denying this. They are in 13th place at the moment and are at risk of being relegated. This brings us to the main rationale behind this pick: motivation. Varnamo are safe and have nothing to play for anymore. Goteborg have taken 30 points but are in reality a better team than this reflects. Their number of xPTS is much higher. The bookmakers see this match as a very balanced one at the time of writing this analysis Monday afternoon Beijing time. In my expert opinion the undervalued visitors deserve to be solid favourites and we will take Goteborg +0.5 goals handicap here.

瓦尔纳莫VS哥德堡

瓦尔纳摩主场迎战哥德堡，将在芬维德斯瓦伦进行瑞典阿尔斯温斯坎队的第27轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。然而，这个联赛的水平远远低于我的欧洲标准。最重要的是，我们还有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!总共将有30轮比赛在阿尔斯温斯坎进行。考虑到赛季前的期望，瓦尔纳摩已经踢了一个不错的赛季。他们目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们一共得到了38分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)只有33.12。到目前为止，他们在联赛中有30次进球，但我对他们的整体进攻印象并不深刻。事实上，他们的预期进球数(xG)只有27.12。他们的进攻结构确实很好，但缺乏个人技术、速度和关键时刻的传球准确性。另一方面，他们的防守相当稳固——再次主要得益于相对良好的结构和没有太多的个人失误。他们已经丢了29个球，他们的预期失球数(xGA)是32.56个。上个赛季，这支相当小的车队获得了第10名，比排名第8的哥德堡少了近10分。

瓦尔纳莫没有很好的球迷，所以主场优势不是很大。从财政资源、历史成就和球员估计的总市场价值来看，他们确实是一家小俱乐部。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，这支球队的市值只有900万欧元左右。这是这个级别的小数值。哥德堡，另一方面，是一个相当大的和传统的俱乐部在瑞典-尽管是近年来。他们的球员总市值约为1300万欧元。他们这个赛季令人失望，这是不可否认的。他们目前排在第13位，有降级的危险。这让我们想到了这个选择背后的主要理由:动机。瓦纳莫安全了，没有什么可以继续比赛了。哥德堡已经拿了30分，但实际上他们比这个数字所反映的要好。他们的xpt数量要高得多。在北京时间周一下午撰写这篇分析时，博彩公司认为这场比赛是一场非常平衡的比赛。在我的专家看来，被低估的客队应该是最受欢迎的，我们将在这里采用哥德堡+0.5的进球劣势。