A fine match to bet on! 德乙 韦恩VS帕德博恩
2024-02-24

Tapio

外籍分析师

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德乙

02/24 01:30

已完赛

韦恩威斯巴登
1:0
帕德博恩
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SV Wehen Wiesbaden VS SC Paderborn 07


Wehen welcome Paderborn for this German 2. Bundesliga round 23 clash at BRITA-Arena in Wiesbaden very early Saturday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards here. Most importantly we have yet another very promising match to bet on here! Wehen currently occupy the 13th place in the standings with a decent 27 points to their account. They have netted the ball 25 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is clearly higher – 29.44. Wehen have conceded 28 goals and their number of expected goals (xGA) is 30.12. They were promoted to this level from the 3. Bundesliga for this season and have surprised me in a positive way. I have , as a result, raised their power rating as the season has progressed! Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 30.56. Paderborn, on the other hand, are in 6th place in the league table. They have a total of 34 points to their account but their number of xPTS is lower – 32.44 to be precise.

The visitors have a decent edge over Wehen in terms of offensive firepower. Indeed, their strikers are faster and more creative. However, the Wehen defence is better structured than the visitors' and the Wehen defenders – as well as midfielders – make less silly mistakes. We must give the substantial home advantage enough emphasis here! Taking this factor – with the expected lineups – I see the hosts as narrow favourites . The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits see Paderborn as solid favourites – offering them odds of around 2.35 to take all three points. The Wehen +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! According to a well-known and respected German website the teams are almost equal. The Wehen squad has an estimated total market value of about 16 million euros. The Paderborn players are valued at a total of about 18 million. Both numbers are more or less correct in my opinion. In their last game Kiel humiliated Paderborn 4-0 at home as narrow underdogs according to the bookies! They did deserve the three points as they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as generated much more in xG – 2.34-0.87. It was an awful performance from Paderborn. The hosts lost to Schalke 0-1 away from home in the last game but the game was a balanced one as a whole. Both teams generated 1.12 in xG.




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威斯巴登VS帕德博恩


欢迎帕德博恩的德语2。北京时间周六凌晨,德甲联赛第23轮比赛将在威斯巴登的brita体育馆举行。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一场非常有希望的比赛可以下注!他们目前在积分榜上排名第13位,拿到了27分。他们有25次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)明显更高,为29.44。当他们丢了28个球,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是30.12。他们是从3级晋升到这个级别的。他在本赛季的德甲联赛中表现出色,给我带来了积极的惊喜。因此,随着赛季的进展,我提高了他们的能量评级!他们的期望值(xPTS)为30.56。另一方面,帕德伯恩在联赛中排名第六。他们的账户总共有34点,但他们的xPTS数量更低,准确地说是32.44。

客队在进攻火力方面比他们有很大的优势。的确,他们的前锋更快,更有创造力。然而,韦恩德的防守结构比客队的好,韦恩德的后卫和中场少犯愚蠢的错误。我们必须在这里给予实质性的主场优势足够的重视!考虑到这一因素——加上预期的阵容——我认为东道主的胜算不大。拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司认为帕德博恩是最受欢迎的人,他们提供了2.35左右的赔率来获得所有三分。“when +0.5个进球障碍”显然是明智的选择!根据一家知名且受人尊敬的德国网站,两支球队的实力几乎相当。据估计,这支球队的总市值约为1600万欧元。帕德伯恩球员的总身价约为1800万美元。在我看来,这两个数字或多或少是正确的。在他们的上一场比赛中,基尔在主场4-0羞辱了帕德伯恩,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是微弱的劣势!他们确实应该得到三分,因为他们有更多的射门次数和射门次数,并且在xG - 2.34-0.87的数据中产生了更多的进球。帕德博恩的表演糟透了。在上一场比赛中,主队客场0-1不敌沙尔克,但这场比赛总体上是平衡的。两个团队在xG中都生成了1.12。


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