Mjallby AIF VS Hacken

Mjällby and Häcken lock horns in this Swedish Allsvenskan round 17 battle at Strandvallen in Hällevik very early Thursday morning Beijing time. In reality both teams have played 11 matches so far. This is the first tier of Swedish football. The level of this league is somewhat average by European standards. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of slightly better than average level by this league's standards. Most importantly, we have an interesting match to bet on to try to keep winning betting on this league. Mjällby currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. They have a decent 17 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower! Last season they ended up in 10th place with only 41 points to their account. Häcken, on the other hand, finished in 3rd place – taking an impressive 57 points. Many of their players have overperformed this year and this is very unlikely to keep happening for the remainder of the season.. They are a pretty small team in terms of overall financial resources and fan-base. They also do not have very enthusiastic fans.. As a result the home advantage here is not very big.. Furthermore, Häckern are a significantly bigger team in terms of players' estimated market value – according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Their squad is valued at pretty close to 23 million euros, which is more or less correct in my expert opinion. The Mjällby players' total market value is estimated at only 8.5 million.

Häcken have undoubtedly been a slight disappointment to me so far this season. Indeed, they are in 6th place with 17 points to their account. Their score difference is 19:19. However, they have the potential to improve in all areas of the game. The hosts have scored 18 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is only 14.88. They have conceded only 13 goals but this number is misleading. Indeed, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 17.78. Mjällby have been in decline recently – losing two games in a row. In their last game they lost to Djurgården at home 1-3. They had 62% ball possession but were still disappointing. Indeed, the visitors recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. The xG numbers were 0.55-2.23. Before this they lost to Göteborg (13th place) on the road 0-1. The hosts recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. They also generated more in xG than Mjällby – 0.77-0.38 to be precise. Häcken lost to GAIS 0-3 in their last game. GAIS are currently in 3rd place. Häcken had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off target. Attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts had two more shots on target though. The final score is misleading and probably affects the odds here too much! Before this Häcken were strong – taking a point from the best team in Sweden, Malmö, at home through a 2-2 draw as very clear underdogs on the betting market. Häcken recorded many goal attempts, shots off target and dangerous attacks – 63-55. The xG numbers were 2.34-1.56. Häcken deserve to be the favourites here - the bookies have made a mistake with their odds!

主要是AIF VS Hacken

北京时间周四凌晨，Mjällby和Häcken将在Hällevik举行的瑞典阿尔斯旺斯坎队第17轮比赛中展开较量。事实上，两支球队到目前为止已经打了11场比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平在某种程度上属于中等水平。足球迷和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是，我们有一场有趣的比赛可以下注，试图继续赢得对这个联赛的下注。Mjällby目前排名第五。他们的账户上有17分。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)更低!上赛季他们仅以41分的积分排名第10。另一方面，Häcken以令人印象深刻的57分获得了第三名。他们的许多球员今年都表现出色，这种情况在本赛季剩下的时间里不太可能继续发生。就整体财务资源和粉丝基础而言，他们是一支相当小的团队。他们也没有非常热情的粉丝。因此这里的主场优势不是很大。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的估计市场价值而言，Häckern是一支大得多的球队。他们的阵容价值接近2300万欧元，这在我的专家看来或多或少是正确的。Mjällby球员的总市值估计只有850万美元。

Häcken毫无疑问，这个赛季到目前为止对我来说有点失望。事实上，他们以17分排在第6位。他们的比分差是19:19。然而，他们在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力。东道主打进了18球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)只有14.88个。他们只丢了13个球，但这个数字具有误导性。实际上，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是17.78。Mjällby最近每况愈下，连输两场。在上一场比赛中，他们主场1-3输给了djurgatrden。他们有62%的控球率，但仍然令人失望。事实上，客队记录了更多的进球尝试、射正和射偏。xG值为0.55 ~ 2.23。在此之前，他们客场0-1负于Göteborg(第13名)。东道主的进球次数、射正次数和射偏次数都有所增加。他们在xG中也产生了比Mjällby - 0.77-0.38更多的数据。Häcken在上一场比赛中0-3输给了GAIS。GAIS目前排名第三。Häcken有60%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数。攻击和危险的攻击。不过主队又射正了两球。最终的比分是误导性的，可能会影响这里的赔率太大!在此之前，Häcken很强势——在主场以2比2战平瑞典最强球队Malmö，从他们那里拿了一分，在博彩市场上，他们显然处于劣势。Häcken记录了许多进球尝试，射门脱靶和危险进攻- 63-55。xG值为2.34 ~ 1.56。Häcken应该是这里最受欢迎的-博彩公司在赔率上犯了一个错误!