A high handicap, but an interesting match because I want to see what we can expect from Xabi Alonso. Question marks as always, but Osasuna has convinced at all this preseason, and I feel there could be an earlish red card for Osasuna! More below:

The final match of La Liga’s opening round will be played today in Madrid, as the league’s other title favorite, Real Madrid, begins its season against last year’s ninth-placed team, Osasuna.

This season too, La Liga is expected to be essentially a two-horse race – with Barcelona and Real Madrid together taking over 90% of the championship probabilities.

Barcelona, who started their campaign with a convincing 3–0 away win over Mallorca, are currently seen on the betting markets as slightly more likely champions than Real Madrid (48%–46%).

The biggest change for Real Madrid over the summer is on the bench, as Xabi Alonso replaces Carlo Ancelotti as head coach.

Real Madrid’s summer break was shorter than Barcelona’s in terms of preparing for the title race, as the team participated in the Club World Cup. There, they hit a wall in the semifinals, losing 4–0 to PSG.

On the transfer market, Real Madrid have not weakened—Rodrygo’s blockbuster move to Manchester City appears to have fallen through. Luka Modrić left on a free transfer to Milan, and other departures included squad players Álvaro Rodríguez, Reinier, Jesús Vallejo, Mario Martín, and Lucas Vázquez.

On the incoming side, the focus has been on young talent: Dean Huijsen, Álvaro Carreras, Franco Mastantuono, and Liverpool full-back Trent Alexander-Arnold.

For the opening match, Real Madrid will be missing Antonio Rüdiger, who is still serving a suspension, as well as injured players Ferland Mendy, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, and Endrick. For some other team these absentees might be a problem, but not really for a giant like Real Madrid.

Osasuna had a successful season last year. This season, a potential (downward) change comes with a coaching switch: the relatively inexperienced Alessio Lisci takes over from the experienced Vicente Moreno. Lisci is 39 year old Italian, whose experience comes from Levante and Mirandes, who have done miracles in Segunda with a weaker squad, today he will meet the big boys and I am worried!

On the player side, the departures of Jesús Areso and Pablo Ibáñez were the most significant losses. The only reinforcement has been winger Víctor Muñoz, who joined from Castilla in the division below.

Overall, Osasuna’s squad is at about the same level as last season. Out of their six pre-season friendlies, Osasuna won only one.

Against Real Madrid, the team will be able to field their optimal lineup, with the exception of Iker Benito.

Sure, this can be a losing bet and the handicap is a clever one. If you so wish you can naturally cover also the draw with -2 goals, but I like to keep things simple.

Good luck!

这是一场很大的障碍，但也是一场有趣的比赛，因为我想看看我们对哈维·阿隆索的期待。一如既往地打上问号，但是奥萨苏纳在季前赛中表现得很好，我觉得奥萨苏纳可能会提前得到一张红牌！更多的以下:

西甲联赛首轮的最后一场比赛将于今天在马德里进行，联赛另一个夺冠热门皇马队将与去年排名第九的奥萨苏纳队开始新赛季的比赛。

本赛季，西甲联赛也将是两匹马的比赛，巴萨和皇马将占据90%的夺冠概率。

以客场3-0完胜马洛卡的巴塞罗那，目前在博彩市场上被认为比皇马更有可能成为冠军（48%比46%）。

皇马这个夏天最大的变化是在板凳上，哈维·阿隆索取代了卡洛·安切洛蒂成为主教练。

由于皇马参加了世俱杯的比赛，因此在备战冠军争夺战方面，皇马的暑假时间比巴萨短。在那里，他们在半决赛中碰壁，0 - 4不敌巴黎圣日耳曼。

在转会市场上，皇马的实力并没有减弱——罗德里戈对曼城的重磅转会似乎已经落空。莫德里奇自由转会米兰，其他球员包括Álvaro Rodríguez，莱尼尔，Jesús巴列霍，马里奥Martín和卢卡斯Vázquez。

在新援方面，球队的重点是年轻的天才球员：迪恩·惠尔森、Álvaro卡雷拉斯、弗朗哥·马斯坦图诺和利物浦边后卫特伦特·亚历山大-阿诺德。

在首场比赛中，皇家马德里队将失去仍在禁赛的安东尼奥·雷迪格，以及受伤的门迪、卡马文加、贝灵汉和恩德里克。对于其他球队来说，这些缺阵的球员可能是个问题，但对于皇马这样的豪门来说却不是。

奥萨苏纳去年的赛季很成功。本赛季，一个潜在的（向下）变化伴随着教练的更换：相对缺乏经验的阿莱西奥·利西接替了经验丰富的维森特·莫雷诺。利西是一个39岁的意大利人，他的经验来自莱万特和米兰德斯，他们在塞贡达以较弱的阵容创造了奇迹，今天他将遇到大男孩，我很担心！

在球员方面，阿雷索和巴勃罗Ibáñez的离开是最重大的损失。唯一的补援是边锋Víctor Muñoz，他是从下面级别的卡西利亚加盟的。

总的来说，奥萨苏纳的阵容与上赛季大致相同。在他们的六场季前赛友谊赛中，奥萨苏纳只赢了一场。

在对阵皇马的比赛中，除了贝尼托之外，球队将能够派出最佳阵容。

当然，这可能是一个失败的赌注，而且障碍是一个聪明的赌注。如果你愿意，你也可以用2个进球来弥补平局，但我喜欢把事情简单化。

好运！