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英超
01/29 04:00
已完赛
In my opinion Tottenham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
First match of the season between both teams in the middle of December finished with Liverpool 2:1 home win, but that was little bit lucky as they scored deciding goal in 90'. Tottenham lost last 5 Premier League matches against Liverpool, but they never lost against them 6 times in a row. Liverpool won last two league away matches against Tottenham, but they never won 3 times in a row. Spurs manager Jose Mourinho lost last 3 league matches against Liverpool, but in his career he never lost against the same team 4 times in a row in league competition. I see good chances for hosts to stop these streaks, they are extremely solid team at home - Tottenham went unbeaten in 72 of last 85 home Premier League matches.
Tottenham have big advantage in fitness department. In last two weeks they played only 2 matches. Defensive formation have a lot of freshness - key players like goalkeeper Loris or defenders Dier, Reguilon or Aurier played last match 11 days ago. Key central midfielders Ndombele and Hojbjerg came from the bench 3 days ago in FA Cup against Wycombe (4:1 away win), both looked great (Ndombele 2 goals, Hojbjerg assist). Tottenham offensive stars Kane (12 goals and 11 assists in 18 matches) and Son (12 goals and 6 assists in 18 matches) as well came from the bench against Wycombe for half an hour to get some practice. I'm sure Tottenham line up have freshness and will look very sharp. On the other hand this is 4th match in last 11 days for Liverpool. During that time they played two huge matches against Manchester United, both on the highest possible intensity. 9 players from today's line up played in last 3 consecutive matches in last 11 days. Freshness is on the Tottenham side, no doubt about that.
Both teams coming for this game in totally different mood. Tottenham is full of confidence, they are unbeaten in last 8 matches in a row. They are on underdog position, so all pressure is at guests shoulders. Liverpool is title defender, but they recorded only one win in last 7 matches.
It's unbelievable, but Liverpool failed to score in last 4 Premier League matches in a row. Of course they are still very dangerous and they created good chances in these matches, but they didn't looked like in previous seasons. Ball not moving so fast between formations and they will have big problems to break solidity of Tottenham middle zone and defense. Hosts conceded only 3 goals in last 6 matches. On the other hand Liverpool conceded at least one goal in 8 of last 11 matches. They are still without two key central defenders Gomez/Van Dijk. Today once again we will see on central defender position Fabinho (nominal position central midfielder) - he looked very poor against United and he will have huge troubles against Kane/Son duo. Liverpool right defender Alexander Arnold and left defender Robertson at the moment plays at least on one level lower in comparison to previous season. Tottenham strikers duo Son/Kane is amazing in current season, but midfielder Ndombele as well is in hot form at the moment - he scored 4 goals in last 6 matches. Tottenham offensive power today will be very hard to stop - 3 days ago against Wycombe they had 28 shots. Tottenham scored at least one goal in 28 of last 31 matches (in 13 of last 14 home matches).
Tottenham should be able to score at least one goal and grab at least one point at the end of the day.
在我看来,托特纳姆recurring在今天的比赛中至少可以得到一分。
12月中旬两队本赛季的首场比赛利物浦主场2:1获胜,但有点幸运,因为他们在90'打进了决定性的一球。热刺在过去5场英超联赛中对阵利物浦都输了球,但他们从未连续6次输给过他们。利物浦过去两个客场都战胜热刺,但他们从未连续客场赢过三场。热刺主帅穆里尼奥最近3场联赛都输给利物浦,但在他的职业生涯中,他从未在联赛中连续4次输给同一支球队。我认为热刺有很好的机会阻止这些糟糕的记录,他们在主场是一支非常稳固的球队——热刺在过去85场英超主场比赛中有72场保持不败。
托特纳姆热刺在健康方面有很大的优势。过去两周他们只打了两场比赛。后防有很多关键球员得到了休息,如守门员洛里斯或后卫迪尔,雷奎隆或奥里尔打了最近一场比赛是在11天。关键的中场球员恩东贝莱和霍杰格三天前在足总杯对阵维康比的比赛中替补出场(客场4:1获胜),两人看起来都很棒(恩多贝尔2球,霍杰格助攻)。进攻明星凯恩(18场比赛12个进球11次助攻)和孙兴慜(18场比赛12个进球6次助攻)也在对阵维康比的比赛中替补出场半小时。我相信托特纳姆的阵容体能会非常好,看起来会很犀利。另一方面,这是利物浦在过去11天里的第4场比赛。在这段时间里,他们和曼联进行了两场重要的比赛,都是最高强度的比赛。今天阵容中的9名球员在过去11天里连续参加了3场比赛。毫无疑问,托特纳姆热刺很有优势。
两队来参加这场比赛的心情完全不同。托特纳姆热刺充满信心,他们在过去8场比赛中保持不败。所以所有的压力都在客队身上。利物浦是卫冕冠军,但他们在过去7场比赛中只取得了一场胜利。
利物浦在最近4场英超联赛中连进一球都没有。当然,他们仍然非常有威胁,他们在这些比赛中创造了很好的机会,但他们看起来不像以前的赛季。球在阵型之间移动不太快,他们将有很大的问题来打破托特纳姆中场和后防的稳固性。热刺在过去6场比赛中只丢了3个球。另一方面,利物浦在过去的11场比赛中至少有8场失球。他们仍然缺少两个关键的中后卫戈麦斯/范迪克。今天我们将再次看到中卫位置上的法比尼奥(中卫的名义位置)-他在对阵曼联的比赛中看起来非常糟糕,在对阵凯恩和儿孙兴慜的比赛中他将会遇到巨大的麻烦。利物浦右后卫阿诺德和左后卫罗伯逊目前的表现至少比上赛季低了一个档次。托特纳姆前锋组合孙兴慜/凯恩本赛季表现出色,中场球员恩多贝尔目前也状态火爆——他在过去6场比赛中打入4球。托特纳姆今天的进攻力量将很难阻挡——3天前对维康比他们有28次射门。托特纳姆在过去31场比赛中有28场(在过去14场主场比赛中有13场)攻入至少一球。
托特纳姆热刺今天应该至少能进一球,并在比赛结束时至少拿到一分。